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The "Yeltsin scenario" has the potential to topple Putin.

 Putin can be overthrown by Yeltsin scenario taking into account that the Russian presidential election is scheduled for March the Russian Elite who do not like war and have a lot to lose from it will remove Putin from his office one way or another by the end of the year however this does not mean that he will be physically removed this was said by Ukrainian political scientists and political strategist Abbas galiamov



 he noted that the election is a very important factor in Russian politics therefore if there are Elite groups that are preparing to overthrow Putin they will of course take the election into account galiamov also mentioned that Putin managed to scare the Russian Elite still the Russian Elite are cowards Putin has scared them a lot so it's very difficult for me to imagine that they are preparing for a real assassination

Also read this By the end of 2023, the Russian military plans to hire 420,000 contract personnel.

 obviously Putin himself is confused he also understands that he is at a dead end and there is no way out the elite can take advantage of this and convince him to hand over power to his successorafter nominating an objectively adequate successor it will be more profitable for him to leave so that the successor would preserve the system maintain the law enforcement system this would be yeltsin's scenario . 

Also read this General: US, NATO to launch front against Russia in Caucasus

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